Sunday, November 30, 2014

2% Interest Rate On Your Mortgage

There is a new loan program in development that focuses on rapid equity growth, as opposed to low monthly payments for 30 years.  The program being developed uses the funds that would normally have been been used for a 3% or 5% down payment, to instead be used to buy down the interest rate on a 15 year mortgage.  In today's market, this strategy could get the rate down to 2%.  The crafters of this mortgage suggest a 100% LTV program that relies on the buy down investment and rapid equity growth as major incentives to keep borrowers paying as agreed.

This program could be of significant interest to millennial with dual incomes and minimal personal debt.  The payment would only be slightly higher than a 30 year fixed rate payment due to the low bought down interest rate.  A significantly shortened payment schedule and rapid equity growth speaks to the millennial affection for mobility, by assuring the quick marketability of a home with equity.

There are some regulatory hurdles…mainly the QM question regarding total allowable closing costs.  A re-definition of interest rate buy down points so as not to be included in QM calculation would go a long way in gaining secondary market interest in this product.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

GDP Growth

The economy is slowly and steadily improving.  Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew a healthy 3.5% in the 3’d quarter while employment wages and benefits rose by .7% in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Wages and salaries rose by over 5% annually-adjusted in the 3rd quarter, as well.


The best news is that all these increases are not causing inflation to rise.  It’s been steady at 1.5% year over year, well within the Fed’s comfort level.

What does all this mean?

The economy is picking up steam without negatively affecting inflation … sooooo … no impetus for the Fed to raise interest rates.

Good news for us all.

Monday, November 24, 2014

Good Economic News



Here’s some good economic news.  The U.S. economy is performing well by comparison to many western industrialized countries.  'First time weekly claims for unemployment insurance' fell again and are remarkably low.  Existing home sales rose 1.5% and are at their highest level of the year. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index hit its highest level since 1993.  So, there is a lot of manufacturing going on, all while inflation remains level. Several positive signs for economic recovery.

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

FHFA and Lender Overlays

Mortgage lenders met at the White House with the administration and Mel Watt, Chairman of FHFA. The discussion centered around lender overlays that have been imposed in an effort to safeguard against loan re-purchase requests from the GSE’s for minor procedural mistakes and documentation errors that do not necessarily reflect on the borrowers’ ability to repay.

It appears that Mr. Watt will be allowing the mortgage industry a 3 year sunset period in which a 3rd party will evaluate GSE claims for re-purchase with regard to whether or not the lender made significant errors in documentation collection, credit evaluation or solving to an ability to repay.

I, for one, recently paid over $80,000 in costs to scratch & dent a loan file for re-sale that had been current for 3 years, went delinquent, was allowed to modify by the loan servicer, went into delinquency once again and finally was foreclosed upon.  I was told that an audit showed that we had made a material error in our credit analysis.

So, after 3 years of paying as agreed, the borrower loses his job, goes into foreclosure and it was deemed that a faulty credit evaluation on our part had led to the loss.

It doesn’t appear that this will happen as easily with the new agreement from Mr. Watt and the FHFA.  Couldn’t have come too soon for me.  The pendulum appears to be moving closer to center.

A less draconian and  more common sense approach to identifying the causes of loan non-performance will be welcomed by the entire mortgage industry.

Monday, November 17, 2014

The GSE's And The American Taxpayer

Regardless of what you’ve heard, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac aren’t going anywhere.  The two GSE’s, vilified by an angry, albeit unknowledgeable press, as a major contributor to the mortgage credit collapse have weathered the storm.  After years of inquiry and reflection, the prevailing “urban legend” that the two GSE’s were playing Russian roulette, with the nations mortgage credit has been proved false.  The GSE’s, though flawed in some ways, were not culprits, but severely damaged when Countrywide and a few large investment bankers high jacked the mortgage industry.

Look for regulations to re-fund the agencies out of their current profits (which have been taken by the U. S. Treasury, each month, since the GSE’s were placed into receivership) and to create one mortgage backed security (MBS) to be used by both agencies, thus saving Freddie Mac close to $400m a year in Mortgage Adjustment Payments (MAP) that they are currently paying to subsidize the value of their MBS to match Fannie’s.  The loans perform the same...no need for two different securities.

The American taxpayer has enjoyed access to low cost mortgage credit via very effective and stable GSE’s since the late 1930’s. Don’t throw the baby out with the bath water.  Modify the business model, fix the operational disparities, regulate to eliminate potential transgressions and let’s got back to stimulating housing.

I am sick to death hearing about the multi-billion dollar bail out, how it cost American taxpayers so dearly and how Washington must make sure that it never happens again.

Fact:  all the bailout monies advanced to the mortgage industry have been repaid, with interest, in just 6 years.

Fact:  all American taxpayers did not pay for the bailout.  It was paid for by those few, who chose to obtain a mortgage to purchase a home since 2008. Those taxpaying homebuyers paid back the TARP advance by paying increased fees and costs to various government agencies to obtain their mortgages.

Fact:  the total advance of TARP funds to the mortgage industry was equal to the cost of one stealth bomber or one new navy cruiser.  No uproar from Congress or the President, about the poor American taxpayer, when the military makes these regular expenditures.

Opinion:  What better place for a government to return tax dollar benefits to its’ citizens than to be actively involved in contributing to the process of homeownership.  Congress and the President scream like stuck pigs that the government should get out of housing.  Why?  A healthy housing market drives the domestic economy.  When housing is strong, people are working.  Goods and services are mined, harvested, manufactured, sold, purchased and used in the homebuilding process. Homes are designed, appraised, built, inspected, marketed, sold, financed, titles transferred, city utilities hooked up, streets paved, curb & gutter poured….gee…..so many citizens involved and so many citizens so positively affected by the process.

Why shouldn’t our government continue to have line item expenditures, in the national budget, to support something as beneficial, to so many of its’ citizens, as housing?  

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Concierge Program - 9312 Holm Dursun Dr

Another listing in our Realtor concierge program.  This one is listed by Mary Romero with Berkshire Hathaway.  Doesn't it look great!

http://9312holmbursundrivenw.utour.me/

Well built, flowing floor plan. Formal Living rm and Dining room plus Den. Large lot plus spacious storage building. Freshly painted, some TLC has taken place. Property is ready for a quick closing. Jet tub in master bedroom. Wood burning fireplace in Living room. Brand new microwave oven. Excellent neighborhood!